Sevilla vs Alavés Prediction and Live Score, Nov 6 2026

Who wins?

Closes in 3d 5h

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Alavés have dropped 5 of the last 5.

10,000 simulated matches

45%

SEV win

28%

Draw

27%

ALA win

Expected goals

SEV 1.54, ALA 1.17

Most likely

1-1 (14%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%)

Both score

55%

3+ goals

50%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
ALALucas Boyé	25%	2.2	0.8	0.03
SEVYoussouf Fofana	19%	1.9	0.7	0.19
SEVFelix Correia	18%	1.6	0.5	0.14
ALAMariano Díaz	16%	0.9	0.4	0.17
SEVEnrique Salas	13%	1.1	0.3	0.03
ALAToni Martínez	13%	1.3	0.4	0.03
SEVRobbie Ure	11%	1.3	0.3	0.15
SEVLucas Stassin	11%	0.9	0.3	0.08

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

Player	Stat	Line	Sim	Gap	Sim says	Last 10
Youssouf FofanaSEV vs ALA · Fri 3:00 PM	Shots on target	0.5	0.7	+0.2	Over 54%	5/8
Mariano DíazALA @ SEV · Fri 3:00 PM	Shots	0.5	0.9	+0.4	Over 57%	6/10
Juan IglesiasSEV vs ALA · Fri 3:00 PM	Shots	0.5	0.9	+0.4	Over 56%	7/10
Abde RebbachALA @ SEV · Fri 3:00 PM	Shots	0.5	0.9	+0.4	Over 56%	6/10