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La Liga player projections

Each game simulated 10,000 times. A player's line is the number he went over in about half of his last 20 games.

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree, strongest first.

PlayerStatLineSimGapSim saysLast 10Last 5
Abde EzzalzouliBET @ ELC · Sun 8:00 AMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 60%8/10
Gerard MorenoVIL vs GET · Sun 12:30 PMShots1.51.1-0.4Under 61%2/10
Nemanja GudeljGET @ VIL · Sun 12:30 PMShots0.51+0.5Over 58%8/10
Thiago FernandezLEV @ CEL · Sun 12:30 PMShots1.51-0.5Under 63%3/10
Mikel OyarzabalRSO vs RAY · Sun 10:15 AMShots on target0.51+0.5Over 62%7/10
Pablo DuránCEL vs LEV · Sun 12:30 PMShots1.51.4-0.1Under 56%3/10
Julián ÁlvarezATM vs BAR · Sun 3:00 PMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 58%7/10
Ander BarrenetxeaRSO vs RAY · Sun 10:15 AMShots1.51.2-0.3Under 59%4/10
Juan IglesiasSEV vs ALA · Fri 3:00 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%7/10
Enes ÜnalGET @ VIL · Sun 12:30 PMShots1.51.2-0.3Under 59%4/10
Kylian MbappéRMA @ VAL · Sat 3:00 PMShots on target1.51.9+0.4Over 55%7/10
Ayoze PérezVIL vs GET · Sun 12:30 PMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 56%4/10
Marc BartraBET @ ELC · Sun 8:00 AMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 55%7/10
Karim AdeyemiBAR @ ATM · Sun 3:00 PMShots0.51+0.5Over 59%6/10
Dani RequenaLEV @ CEL · Sun 12:30 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 57%5/8
Mariano DíazALA @ SEV · Fri 3:00 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 57%6/10
Georges MikautadzeVIL vs GET · Sun 12:30 PMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 57%6/10
Yuri BerchicheATH @ OSA · Sat 12:30 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Abde RebbachALA @ SEV · Fri 3:00 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Orri ÓskarssonRSO vs RAY · Sun 10:15 AMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 56%6/10
Youssouf FofanaSEV vs ALA · Fri 3:00 PMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 54%5/8
Peio CanalesATH @ OSA · Sat 12:30 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 53%5/8
Javi RuedaCEL vs LEV · Sun 12:30 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 54%6/10
Sergio CanalesRAC @ MCF · Sat 8:00 AMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 54%6/10

Updated Tue 2:00 PM ET. 10 games.