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UCL player projections

Each game simulated 10,000 times. A player's line is the number he went over in about half of his last 20 games.

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree, strongest first.

PlayerStatLineSimGapSim saysLast 10Last 5
Aurélien TchouaméniRMA @ AEK · Wed 12:45 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%8/10
Kylian MbappéRMA @ AEK · Wed 12:45 PMShots on target2.51.9-0.6Under 63%4/10
Nicolo TresoldiBRU @ PSV · Wed 3:00 PMShots on target0.51+0.5Over 62%6/10
Kylian MbappéRMA @ AEK · Wed 12:45 PMShots4.54-0.5Under 57%3/10
Federico ValverdeRMA @ AEK · Wed 12:45 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 57%7/10
Mason GreenwoodFEN vs LIV · Wed 12:45 PMShots on target1.51.2-0.3Under 60%4/10
Joey VeermanDOR vs BET · Wed 3:00 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%7/10
Ronald AraújoLIV @ FEN · Wed 12:45 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 55%7/10
Jude BellinghamRMA @ AEK · Wed 12:45 PMShots1.51.9+0.4Over 53%6/10

Updated Wed 1:15 AM ET. 9 games.