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Serie A player projections

Each game simulated 10,000 times. A player's line is the number he went over in about half of his last 20 games.

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree, strongest first.

PlayerStatLineSimGapSim saysLast 10Last 5
Marcus ThuramINT vs COMO · Sun 12:00 PMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 59%8/10
BremerJUV @ FIO · Sun 2:45 PMShots1.51.1-0.4Under 61%3/10
Ché AdamsTOR vs LEC · Sat 9:00 AMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 56%8/10
Adrien RabiotMIL @ GEN · Sun 9:00 AMShots1.51-0.5Under 62%4/10
Giacomo CaloFRO @ CAG · Sat 9:00 AMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 60%7/10
Farès GhedjemisFRO @ CAG · Sat 9:00 AMShots on target1.51.1-0.4Under 61%3/8
Hassane KamaraUDI @ VEN · Fri 2:45 PMShots0.51+0.5Over 59%7/10
Antoine HainautVEN vs UDI · Fri 2:45 PMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 57%3/10
Cher NdourFIO vs JUV · Sun 2:45 PMShots0.51+0.5Over 58%7/10
Gustavo VarelaMON vs ATA · Sun 9:00 AMShots on target1.51.2-0.3Under 58%3/9
Joel MonteiroLEC @ TOR · Sat 9:00 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%6/8
Federico DimarcoINT vs COMO · Sun 12:00 PMShots1.51.1-0.4Under 61%4/10
Lorenzo LuccaNAP vs LAZ · Sun 6:30 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%7/10
Akor AdamsVEN vs UDI · Fri 2:45 PMShots on target1.51.3-0.2Under 56%3/10
Ange-Yoan BonnyINT vs COMO · Sun 12:00 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%7/10
Jens OdgaardBOL @ PAR · Sat 12:00 PMShots1.51.1-0.4Under 61%4/10
Vasilije AdzicSAS @ ROMA · Sat 2:45 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%7/10
El Bilal TourePAR vs BOL · Sat 12:00 PMShots1.51.2-0.3Under 58%4/10
Armand LaurientéSAS @ ROMA · Sat 2:45 PMShots1.52+0.5Over 55%7/10
Hakan ÇalhanogluINT vs COMO · Sun 12:00 PMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 58%4/10
Nicolò FagioliFIO vs JUV · Sun 2:45 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%7/10
Matteo PolitanoNAP vs LAZ · Sun 6:30 AMShots1.51.2-0.3Under 58%4/10
Anastasios DouvikasCOMO @ INT · Sun 12:00 PMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 60%6/10
John YeboahVEN vs UDI · Fri 2:45 PMShots2.52.2-0.3Under 57%4/10
Jurgen EkkelenkampUDI @ VEN · Fri 2:45 PMShots1.52+0.5Over 55%7/10
Mateo PellegrinoFIO vs JUV · Sun 2:45 PMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 56%4/10
Christian PulisicMIL @ GEN · Sun 9:00 AMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 54%7/10
Jacobo RamónCOMO @ INT · Sun 12:00 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 54%7/10
Anthony OyonoFRO @ CAG · Sat 9:00 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/9
Federico BernardeschiBOL @ PAR · Sat 12:00 PMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 54%7/10
Frank AnguissaNAP vs LAZ · Sun 6:30 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 57%6/10
Darryl BakolaSAS @ ROMA · Sat 2:45 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Strahinja PavlovicMIL @ GEN · Sun 9:00 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Pietro ComuzzoTOR vs LEC · Sat 9:00 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%6/10
Farès GhedjemisFRO @ CAG · Sat 9:00 AMShots2.53+0.5Over 54%5/8
Donyell MalenROMA vs SAS · Sat 2:45 PMShots3.54.1+0.6Over 54%6/10
Keinan DavisUDI @ VEN · Fri 2:45 PMShots1.51.9+0.4Over 53%6/10
Federico BernardeschiBOL @ PAR · Sat 12:00 PMShots1.51.9+0.4Over 53%6/10
Kenneth TaylorLAZ @ NAP · Sun 6:30 AMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 53%6/10
Evan NdickaROMA vs SAS · Sat 2:45 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 53%6/10
Jon RoweATA @ MON · Sun 9:00 AMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 53%6/10

Updated Wed 12:00 AM ET. 10 games.