AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest

Premier League

Bournemouth

4-3-3

Sat, Nov 21, 10:00 AM ET

Nottm Forest

2-3-5

Vitality Stadium

Who wins: Bournemouth 44%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Bournemouth won 44% of them. A draw in 28%. The most likely final: Bournemouth 1, Nottm Forest 0. See the full Sim

Latest

All news

Nottm Forest has dropped 4 of the last 5.

Recap · 6d ago

Evanlison fires Bournemouth past Ipswich for eighth straight win

ESPN · Nov 6

Transfer rumors, news: Man United, Arsenal eye Bournemouth's Tavernier

ESPN · Nov 5

Tyler Adams: Bournemouth have 'turned a page' after seventh straight win

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

44%

BOU win

28%

Draw

28%

NFO win

Expected goals

BOU 1.44, NFO 1.09

Most likely

1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%)

Both score

51%

3+ goals

45%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
BOUMarcus Tavernier	29%	1.7	0.7	0.08
BOUEvanilson	24%	1.8	0.6	0.15
BOURayan	23%	1.9	0.7	0.08
NFOMorgan Gibbs-White	20%	1.3	0.5	0.12
NFOLiam Delap	17%	1.9	0.5	0.03
BOURyan Christie	10%	1.2	0.3	0.03
BOUJustin Kluivert	10%	0.8	0.2	0.08
NFONeco Williams	9%	1.0	0.3	0.08

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All EPL projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Marcus TavernierBOU vs NFO · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots on target	1+	0.7	55%	7 of 10
Liam DelapNFO @ BOU · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots	2+	1.9	54%	7 of 10
Neco WilliamsNFO @ BOU · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots	2+	1	36%	4 of 10
MurilloNFO @ BOU · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots	1+	0.8	54%	8 of 10