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EPL player projections

Each game simulated 10,000 times. A player's line is the number he went over in about half of his last 20 games.

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree, strongest first.

PlayerStatLineSimGapSim saysLast 10Last 5
Daniel MuñozNFO vs MNC · Sat 12:30 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 54%9/10
Morgan RogersCHE @ SUN · Sun 9:00 AMShots2.52-0.5Under 60%4/10
Thierno BarryEVE vs COV · Fri 3:00 PMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 59%8/10
Anton StachLEE vs TOT · Sat 7:30 AMShots1.51.2-0.3Under 59%4/10
Maxim De CuyperBHA vs BRE · Sun 9:00 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 58%8/10
Bruno GuimarãesARS vs HUL · Sat 10:00 AMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 57%4/10
William OsulaNEW @ FUL · Sat 10:00 AMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 55%8/10
Dominic SolankeTOT @ LEE · Sat 7:30 AMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 56%4/10
Carlos BalebaMAN vs AVL · Sun 11:30 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%8/10
Pascal GrossBHA vs BRE · Sun 9:00 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 59%7/10
James JustinLEE vs TOT · Sat 7:30 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 57%7/10
Dominic Calvert-LewinLEE vs TOT · Sat 7:30 AMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 56%7/10
Marcus TavernierBOU @ IPS · Sun 9:00 AMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 55%7/10
Cole PalmerCHE @ SUN · Sun 9:00 AMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 55%7/10
Nordi MukieleSUN vs CHE · Sun 9:00 AMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 55%7/10
MurilloNFO vs MNC · Sat 12:30 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 54%7/10
Josh KingFUL vs NEW · Sat 10:00 AMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 54%7/10
Morgan RogersCHE @ SUN · Sun 9:00 AMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 53%7/10
Gabriel MagalhãesARS vs HUL · Sat 10:00 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 58%6/10
Diogo DalotMAN vs AVL · Sun 11:30 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 57%6/10
Riccardo CalafioriARS vs HUL · Sat 10:00 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 57%6/10
Julio EncisoIPS vs BOU · Sun 9:00 AMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 53%6/9
Ao TanakaLEE vs TOT · Sat 7:30 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 57%6/10
Wilson IsidorSUN vs CHE · Sun 9:00 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Phil FodenMNC @ NFO · Sat 12:30 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Charalambos KostoulasBHA vs BRE · Sun 9:00 AMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 56%6/10
John McGinnAVL @ MAN · Sun 11:30 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%6/10
RayanBOU @ IPS · Sun 9:00 AMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 55%6/10
Dominic Calvert-LewinLEE vs TOT · Sat 7:30 AMShots1.51.9+0.4Over 53%6/10

Updated Tue 4:45 AM ET. 10 games.