Chelsea vs Leeds United

Premier League

5-1-4

Sat, Nov 21, 10:00 AM ET

3-5-2

Stamford Bridge

Who wins: Chelsea 47%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Chelsea won 47% of them. A draw in 27%. The most likely final: Chelsea 1, Leeds 0. See the full Sim

Leeds has dropped 4 of the last 5.

10,000 simulated matches

47%

CHE win

27%

Draw

26%

LEE win

Expected goals

CHE 1.63, LEE 1.22

Most likely

1-1 (13%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%)

Both score

57%

3+ goals

53%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
CHECole Palmer	28%	2.4	0.9	0.17
CHEMorgan Rogers	28%	2.2	0.8	0.13
LEEDominic Calvert-Lewin	26%	1.8	0.7	0.06
CHEPedro Neto	19%	1.4	0.6	0.20
CHEJoão Pedro	16%	0.9	0.3	0.08
CHEJordan Henderson	11%	0.6	0.2	0.11
CHEEstêvão	11%	0.9	0.3	0.04
LEEJayden Bogle	10%	0.8	0.2	0.07

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

Cheat sheet

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
Cole PalmerCHE vs LEE · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots on target	1+	0.9	58%	7 of 10
Morgan RogersCHE vs LEE · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots	3+	2.2	43%	4 of 10
Dominic Calvert-LewinLEE @ CHE · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots on target	1+	0.7	54%	7 of 10
Jayden BogleLEE @ CHE · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots	1+	0.8	54%	7 of 10
James JustinLEE @ CHE · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots	1+	0.9	55%	6 of 10
Ao TanakaLEE @ CHE · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots	1+	1	57%	7 of 10