Aston Villa vs Sunderland

Premier League

Aston Villa

3-4-3

Sat, Nov 21, 10:00 AM ET

Sunderland

2-2-6

Villa Park

Who wins: Aston Villa 51%

The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Aston Villa won 51% of them. A draw in 26%. The most likely final: Aston Villa 1, Sunderland 0. See the full Sim

Latest

All news

Sunderland has dropped 4 of the last 5.

ESPN · 5d ago

Xabi Alonso insists Chelsea were not 'bullied' by Sunderland after defeat

ESPN · 5d ago

Sunderland's Xhaka (calf) to miss Switzerland's Nations League games

ESPN · 5d ago

Unai Emery storms off, explains exit as Man United equalised against Aston Villa

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

51%

AVL win

26%

Draw

24%

SUN win

Expected goals

AVL 1.70, SUN 1.11

Most likely

1-1 (12%), 1-0 (9%), 2-0 (9%)

Both score

54%

3+ goals

53%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
AVLNicolas Jackson	42%	2.6	1.3	0.08
SUNEnzo Le Fée	17%	1.2	0.4	0.14
AVLJohn McGinn	16%	1.0	0.4	0.19
AVLAlysson	15%	1.2	0.3	0.09
SUNBrian Brobbey	15%	0.9	0.3	0.02
AVLJohan Manzambi	14%	1.4	0.4	0.14
SUNWilson Isidor	11%	0.8	0.2	0.02
AVLEmiliano Buendía	10%	1.0	0.3	0.02

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All EPL projections

Player	Stat	His usual	Sim projects	Chance he gets there	Did it, last 10
John McGinnAVL vs SUN · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots	1+	1	59%	6 of 10
Wilson IsidorSUN @ AVL · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots	1+	0.8	54%	7 of 10
Trai HumeSUN @ AVL · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots	1+	0.9	56%	6 of 10
Ian MaatsenAVL vs SUN · Sat 10:00 AM	Shots	1+	0.8	54%	7 of 10