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NBA player projections

Each game simulated 10,000 times. A player's line is the number he went over in about half of his last 20 games.

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree, strongest first.

PlayerStatLineSimGapSim saysLast 10Last 5
P.J. WashingtonDAL @ HOU · Wed 8:30 PMRebounds5.56.8+1.3Over 55%8/10
Jevon CarterORL vs ATL · Wed 7:00 PMThrees1.51.1-0.4Under 59%1/10
Cam SpencerMEM vs UTAH · Wed 8:00 PMAssists4.55.6+1.1Over 55%8/10
Matas BuzelisCHI @ TOR · Wed 7:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast28.523.1-5.4Under 64%2/10
Naji MarshallDAL @ HOU · Wed 8:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast21.526.6+5.1Over 59%7/10
Quentin GrimesLAL vs GS · Wed 10:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast22.518-4.5Under 63%2/10
Jaxson HayesUTAH @ MEM · Wed 8:00 PMAssists0.51+0.5Over 53%8/10
Quentin GrimesLAL vs GS · Wed 10:00 PMPoints14.511.6-2.9Under 61%2/10
Rudy GobertMIN @ MIA · Wed 7:30 PMRebounds10.512.2+1.7Over 55%7/10
Franz WagnerORL vs ATL · Wed 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast28.525.9-2.6Under 58%2/10
Collin Murray-BoylesTOR vs CHI · Wed 7:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast14.517+2.5Over 55%7/10
Ben SheppardIND @ NO · Wed 8:00 PMThrees1.51.2-0.3Under 58%2/10
Goga BitadzeORL vs ATL · Wed 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast9.511.5+2.0Over 55%7/10
Stephen CurryGS @ LAL · Wed 10:00 PMPoints26.521.6-4.9Under 62%3/10
Gary Trent Jr.MIL @ WSH · Wed 7:00 PMRebounds0.51+0.5Over 53%7/10
Jalen JohnsonATL @ ORL · Wed 7:00 PMAssists7.55.9-1.6Under 62%3/10
Cooper FlaggDAL @ HOU · Wed 8:30 PMPoints19.523.8+4.3Over 57%6/10
Marcus SasserDAL @ HOU · Wed 8:30 PMRebounds1.51-0.5Under 61%3/10
P.J. WashingtonDAL @ HOU · Wed 8:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast21.524.9+3.4Over 55%6/10
Trae YoungWSH vs MIL · Wed 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast28.522.4-6.1Under 66%4/10
Miles BridgesPHX @ POR · Wed 10:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast21.524.9+3.4Over 55%6/10
Giannis AntetokounmpoMIA vs MIN · Wed 7:30 PMPoints24.520.8-3.7Under 61%3/10
Deni AvdijaPOR vs PHX · Wed 10:00 PMRebounds5.56.8+1.3Over 55%6/10
Matas BuzelisCHI @ TOR · Wed 7:30 PMPoints18.515.3-3.2Under 60%3/10
Egor DeminBKN vs CHA · Wed 7:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast13.516.4+2.9Over 55%6/10
Lauri MarkkanenUTAH @ MEM · Wed 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast34.531-3.5Under 59%3/10
Giannis AntetokounmpoMIA vs MIN · Wed 7:30 PMRebounds8.510+1.5Over 55%6/10
Stephen CurryGS @ LAL · Wed 10:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast33.530-3.5Under 59%3/10
Rui HachimuraLAC vs SAC · Wed 10:30 PMPoints12.515.3+2.8Over 54%6/10
Julius RandleBKN vs CHA · Wed 7:30 PMAssists4.53.7-0.8Under 59%3/10
Terance MannBKN vs CHA · Wed 7:30 PMThrees0.51+0.5Over 54%6/10
Keyonte GeorgeUTAH @ MEM · Wed 8:00 PMPoints22.519.6-2.9Under 59%3/10
Jalen SlawsonIND @ NO · Wed 8:00 PMThrees0.51+0.5Over 54%6/10
Jalen SmithCHI @ TOR · Wed 7:30 PMPts + Reb + Ast20.516.2-4.3Under 64%4/10
Micah PotterPOR vs PHX · Wed 10:00 PMRebounds4.55.5+1.0Over 54%6/10
Ace BaileyUTAH @ MEM · Wed 8:00 PMAssists2.52-0.5Under 59%3/10
Zach EdeyMEM vs UTAH · Wed 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast21.524.1+2.6Over 54%6/10
Isaiah CollierUTAH @ MEM · Wed 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast26.521.8-4.7Under 64%4/10
Zion WilliamsonNO vs IND · Wed 8:00 PMRebounds4.55.5+1.0Over 54%6/10
Tidjane SalaunCHA @ BKN · Wed 7:30 PMRebounds4.53.7-0.8Under 58%3/10
Cormac RyanMIL @ WSH · Wed 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast14.516.8+2.3Over 53%6/10
Kawhi LeonardTOR vs CHI · Wed 7:30 PMPoints27.524.5-3.0Under 58%3/10
Alperen SengunHOU vs DAL · Wed 8:30 PMPoints17.520+2.5Over 53%6/10
Alex SarrWSH vs MIL · Wed 7:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast26.524.1-2.4Under 58%3/10
Bobby PortisMIA vs MIN · Wed 7:30 PMRebounds5.56.5+1.0Over 53%6/10
Kawhi LeonardTOR vs CHI · Wed 7:30 PMAssists3.53-0.5Under 57%3/10
Jalen GreenPHX @ POR · Wed 10:00 PMPoints21.517.1-4.4Under 62%4/10
Austin ReavesLAL vs GS · Wed 10:00 PMAssists5.54.8-0.7Under 57%3/10
Devin BookerPHX @ POR · Wed 10:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast37.532.3-5.2Under 62%4/10
Ty JeromeMEM vs UTAH · Wed 8:00 PMPts + Reb + Ast27.523.2-4.3Under 62%4/10

Updated Tue 10:17 PM ET. 12 games.