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Ligue 1 player projections

Each game simulated 10,000 times. A player's line is the number he went over in about half of his last 20 games.

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree, strongest first.

PlayerStatLineSimGapSim saysLast 10Last 5
Pathé MboupBRE vs LYON · Sun 11:15 AMShots1.52+0.5Over 55%9/10
Gauthier HeinNICE @ ANG · Sun 11:15 AMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 58%1/10
Pathé MboupBRE vs LYON · Sun 11:15 AMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 57%8/10
Pape DiopSTR @ TOU · Fri 2:45 PMShots1.51-0.5Under 64%3/10
Nabil BentalebLILL @ REN · Sun 9:00 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%8/10
Jean VercruysseMNS vs MON · Sun 11:15 AMShots1.51.1-0.4Under 60%3/8
Désiré DouéPSG vs TRY · Sat 2:45 PMShots on target0.51+0.5Over 61%7/10
Louis MafoutaMNS vs MON · Sun 11:15 AMShots2.52.1-0.4Under 58%3/9
Hugo MagnettiBRE vs LYON · Sun 11:15 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%8/10
Lassine SinayokoPAR @ AUX · Sat 11:15 AMShots3.53-0.5Under 58%4/10
Dilane BakwaLILL @ REN · Sun 9:00 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 59%7/10
Jonathan ClaussNICE @ ANG · Sun 11:15 AMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 58%4/10
Mbwana SamattaHAC vs LOR · Sun 11:15 AMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 56%7/10
Sebastian SzymanskiREN vs LILL · Sun 9:00 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%7/10
Felix BacherLYON @ BRE · Sun 11:15 AMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 55%6/9
Amine HaritOLM @ RCL · Sun 2:45 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 54%6/9
Ilyas AziziTOU vs STR · Fri 2:45 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 54%6/9
Dermane KarimTRY @ PSG · Sat 2:45 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 54%6/10
Naouirou AhamadaAUX vs PAR · Sat 11:15 AMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 54%6/10

Updated Tue 2:00 PM ET. 9 games.