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Liga MX player projections

Each game simulated 10,000 times. A player's line is the number he went over in about half of his last 20 games.

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree, strongest first.

PlayerStatLineSimGapSim saysLast 10Last 5
Jhojan JulioATL vs ASL · Fri 11:00 PMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 59%9/10
PaulinhoTOL @ LEO · Sat 7:00 PMShots on target1.51-0.5Under 66%3/10
Martín SarrafioreATL vs ASL · Fri 11:00 PMShots on target0.51+0.5Over 61%7/9
Ismael DíazLEO vs TOL · Sat 7:00 PMShots1.51-0.5Under 64%3/10
HelinhoTOL vs TIJ · Wed 9:00 PMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 56%8/10
PaulinhoTOL vs TIJ · Wed 9:00 PMShots on target1.51.1-0.4Under 61%3/10
Florián MonzónATS vs AME · Wed 9:00 PMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 58%7/9
Diber CambindoLEO @ UANL · Tue 11:10 PMShots on target1.51-0.5Under 65%4/10
Henry MartínAME @ ATS · Wed 9:00 PMShots on target0.51+0.5Over 61%7/10
Facundo AlmadaPUE vs MTY · Wed 9:00 PMShots1.51.2-0.3Under 58%3/10
Hugo CuypersMTY vs GDL · Sat 8:00 PMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 59%7/10
Oussama IdrissiPAC vs CAZ · Wed 11:10 PMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 57%3/10
Gabriel FernandezCAZ @ PAC · Wed 11:10 PMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 59%7/10
PaulinhoTOL vs TIJ · Wed 9:00 PMShots3.52.7-0.8Under 62%4/10
Fernando MonarrezPUE vs MTY · Wed 9:00 PMShots0.51+0.5Over 58%7/10
Jesús GallardoTOL @ LEO · Sat 7:00 PMShots1.51.1-0.4Under 61%4/10
Diego SánchezUANL vs LEO · Tue 11:10 PMShots0.51+0.5Over 58%7/10
Jesús CoronaMTY @ PUE · Wed 9:00 PMShots1.51.1-0.4Under 60%4/10
Juan BrunettaUANL vs LEO · Tue 11:10 PMShots on target1.52+0.5Over 57%7/10
Brian RodríguezAME @ ATS · Wed 9:00 PMShots on target1.51.2-0.3Under 60%4/10
Ezequiel BullaudeSAN vs UNAM · Wed 11:10 PMShots on target0.51+0.5Over 61%6/10
Jesús GallardoTOL vs TIJ · Wed 9:00 PMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 57%4/10
Óscar EstupiñánJUA @ NCX · Fri 9:00 PMShots on target0.51+0.5Over 61%6/10
Jesús CoronaMTY vs GDL · Sat 8:00 PMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 57%4/10
Omar CamposCAZ @ PAC · Wed 11:10 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%7/10
Diber CambindoLEO vs TOL · Sat 7:00 PMShots on target1.51.3-0.2Under 57%4/10
Hugo CuypersMTY @ PUE · Wed 9:00 PMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 55%7/10
José Luis RodríguezJUA @ NCX · Fri 9:00 PMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 57%4/10
Carlos RodríguezCAZ @ PAC · Wed 11:10 PMShots0.51+0.5Over 59%6/10
Luis CalzadillaATL vs ASL · Fri 11:00 PMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 58%6/10
Agustín PalavecinoCAZ @ PAC · Wed 11:10 PMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 53%7/10
Iván MorenoLEO @ UANL · Tue 11:10 PMShots0.51+0.5Over 58%6/10
Christian RiveraPAC vs CAZ · Wed 11:10 PMShots0.51+0.5Over 56%6/10
Nicolás CastroTOL vs TIJ · Wed 9:00 PMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 56%6/10
Owen GonzálezNCX vs JUA · Fri 9:00 PMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 56%6/10
Andres MontañoCAZ @ PAC · Wed 11:10 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Eduardo AguirreSAN vs UNAM · Wed 11:10 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Paulo RamírezATS vs AME · Wed 9:00 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Alan BautistaPAC vs CAZ · Wed 11:10 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%6/10
Richard LedezmaGDL @ MTY · Sat 8:00 PMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%6/10
José AlvaradoLEO vs TOL · Sat 7:00 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 54%6/10
Henry MartínAME @ ATS · Wed 9:00 PMShots1.51.9+0.4Over 53%6/10
Daniel ArcilaLEO vs TOL · Sat 7:00 PMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 53%6/10

Updated Tue 10:17 PM ET. 12 games.