AEK Athens vs Real Madrid Prediction and Live Score, Nov 4 2026

Who wins?

Closes in 8h 10m

AEK1-0-2 Draw

RMA3-0-0

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Latest

All news

Real Madrid has won 3 straight.

ESPN · 14h ago

Camavinga: Mourinho as Real Madrid coach boosted my confidence

ESPN · 3d ago

Burley: Real Madrid have been better without Vinícius Jr.

ESPN · 3d ago

Jude Bellingham becomes first Englishman to score 50 goals for Real Madrid

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

30%

AEK win

25%

Draw

45%

RMA win

Expected goals

AEK 1.49, RMA 1.85

Most likely

1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%)

Both score

66%

3+ goals

64%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
RMAKylian Mbappé	48%	4.0	1.9	0.10
AEKStavros Pilios	22%	0.9	0.4	0.20
RMAJude Bellingham	21%	1.9	0.7	0.15
RMAYan Diomande	21%	1.4	0.5	0.22
AEKRazvan Marin	19%	1.2	0.4	0.05
AEKLovro Majer	15%	1.3	0.4	0.11
RMAArda Güler	14%	1.5	0.5	0.25
AEKFilipe Relvas	11%	0.9	0.3	0.07

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times. One side has few matches with us, so this leans on the average.

Projections

All UCL projections

Player	Stat	Line	Sim	Gap	Sim says	Last 10
Kylian MbappéRMA @ AEK · Wed 12:45 PM	Shots on target	2.5	1.9	-0.6	Under 63%	4/10
Jude BellinghamRMA @ AEK · Wed 12:45 PM	Shots	1.5	1.9	+0.4	Over 53%	6/10
Federico ValverdeRMA @ AEK · Wed 12:45 PM	Shots	0.5	0.9	+0.4	Over 57%	7/10
Aurélien TchouaméniRMA @ AEK · Wed 12:45 PM	Shots	0.5	0.9	+0.4	Over 56%	8/10