Nuggets vs Rockets Prediction and Live Score, Nov 9 2026

Who wins?

Closes in 15h 49m

DEN5-3

HOU7-3

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Latest

All news

Nuggets have won 4 of the last 5.

Preview · 1d ago

Denver plays Houston, seeks 4th straight road win

ESPN · 4h ago

Nuggets' starters all questionable vs. Rockets after delays leaving Mexico

Recap · 1d ago

Booker scores 24, Suns outlast Rockets 102-99 for 1st back-to-back wins of season

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

38%

DEN win

62%

HOU win

Typical final

DEN 113, HOU 118

Combined points

231

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
DENNikola Jokic	24.0	11.3	9.3	25+ 45%
DENJamal Murray	23.2	5.1	6.5	25+ 41%
HOUKevin Durant	22.1	6.3	3.8	25+ 34%
HOUAlperen Sengun	18.1	8.5	6.3	20+ 39%
HOUAmen Thompson	17.5	7.8	4.0	20+ 35%
HOUJabari Smith Jr.	17.0	7.6	2.4	20+ 33%

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Nuggets simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Jamal Murray	38	23.2	5.1	6.5	0.9	0.8	2.6	7.9-17.9	3.1-8.2	4.3-5.1
Nikola Jokic	37	24.0	11.3	9.3	1.7	1.6	3.6	9.3-19.0	1.3-4.8	4.1-5.0
Christian Braun	36	12.8	4.2	2.6	1.6	0.3	1.3	4.9-10.2	1.5-4.6	1.5-1.9
Aaron Gordon	30	13.4	5.4	2.3	0.9	0.5	1.3	4.6-10.3	1.4-4.5	2.8-3.6
DeMar DeRozan	22	11.4	1.7	2.2	0.7	0.3	1.1	4.2-8.7	0.5-1.5	2.6-3.2
Trevon Brazile	22	7.5	6.1	0.6	0.7	0.7	0.8	2.8-5.9	0.9-2.6	1.0-1.3
Cameron Johnson	18	6.8	2.4	1.5	0.5	0.2	0.8	2.5-5.7	1.1-3.2	0.6-0.8
Marvin Bagley III	13	6.2	3.7	0.4	0.3	0.6	0.7	2.3-4.3	0.2-0.7	1.3-1.7
Bryce Hopkins	12	4.4	1.6	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.7	1.5-3.0	0.3-1.0	1.1-1.4
Tyus Jones	12	3.3	0.8	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.4	1.2-3.0	0.5-1.6	0.3-0.4
Team	240	113.0	42.3	27.6	8.2	5.1	13.3	41.2-88.0	10.8-32.7	19.6-24.4

Rockets simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Jabari Smith Jr.	37	17.0	7.6	2.4	0.8	0.9	1.2	6.1-13.2	2.6-6.8	2.1-2.6
Kevin Durant	37	22.1	6.3	3.8	0.7	1.1	3.0	7.6-15.4	1.9-5.1	5.0-6.1
Amen Thompson	36	17.5	7.8	4.0	1.2	0.6	1.8	7.0-12.9	0.5-1.4	3.0-3.9
Alperen Sengun	30	18.1	8.5	6.3	0.9	0.9	2.5	7.3-13.7	0.6-1.7	2.9-3.8
Tari Eason	26	10.7	7.0	1.5	1.1	0.8	1.3	4.2-9.4	1.3-3.9	1.0-1.2
Fred VanVleet	26	11.4	3.2	4.3	0.9	0.2	1.3	3.9-9.8	2.4-6.8	1.1-1.3
Marcus Smart	17	6.5	2.0	1.6	0.8	0.2	1.2	2.2-5.2	1.2-3.3	0.9-1.1
Reed Sheppard	15	7.8	1.6	2.7	0.9	0.2	0.9	2.9-7.0	1.7-4.7	0.3-0.4
Bogdan Bogdanovic	12	4.8	1.4	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.6	1.7-4.0	0.9-2.6	0.5-0.6
Oscar Tshiebwe	4	1.9	1.7	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.8-1.3	0.0-0.1	0.3-0.4
Team	240	117.8	47.1	27.6	7.7	5.0	14.1	43.7-91.9	13.1-36.4	17.1-21.4

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

The Sim

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Cheat sheet

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Projections

All NBA projections

Player	Stat	Line	Sim	Gap	Sim says	Last 10
Nikola JokicDEN @ HOU · Mon 8:30 PM	Rebounds	13.5	11.3	-2.2	Under 62%	2/10
Kevin DurantHOU vs DEN · Mon 8:30 PM	Assists	4.5	3.8	-0.7	Under 58%	1/10
Amen ThompsonHOU vs DEN · Mon 8:30 PM	Assists	4.5	4	-0.5	Under 56%	2/10
Fred VanVleetHOU vs DEN · Mon 8:30 PM	Assists	5.5	4.3	-1.2	Under 61%	3/8
DeMar DeRozanDEN @ HOU · Mon 8:30 PM	Pts + Reb + Ast	17.5	15.4	-2.1	Under 58%	4/10
Reed SheppardHOU vs DEN · Mon 8:30 PM	Assists	3.5	2.7	-0.8	Under 60%	4/10
Marcus SmartHOU vs DEN · Mon 8:30 PM	Points	8.5	6.5	-2.0	Under 60%	2/10
Marvin Bagley IIIDEN @ HOU · Mon 8:30 PM	Rebounds	4.5	3.7	-0.8	Under 59%	3/10