Heat vs Warriors Prediction and Live Score, Nov 5 2026

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Closes in 19h 33m

MIA3-5

GS5-3

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Warriors have won 5 straight.

Preview · 23m ago

Golden State takes on Miami, looks for 6th straight win

Recap · 34m ago

Klay Thompson hits winning 3 with a second left in OT as Heat rally past skidding Clippers 117-116

ESPN · 36m ago

Miami Heat vs. LA Clippers: Game Highlights

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

40%

MIA win

60%

GS win

Typical final

MIA 116, GS 120

Combined points

236

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
MIAGiannis Antetokounmpo	27.4	12.3	4.8	30+ 36%
GSYaxel Lendeborg	21.7	7.5	3.6	25+ 33%
GSStephen Curry	21.0	3.6	3.6	20+ 57%
MIABam Adebayo	18.5	8.9	3.4	20+ 41%
GSBrandin Podziemski	13.9	4.6	4.3	15+ 43%
MIADavion Mitchell	13.3	2.0	7.9	15+ 40%

Watch the sim play it

Heat simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Davion Mitchell	35	13.3	2.0	7.9	1.5	0.5	2.3	5.2-10.9	1.8-4.8	1.1-1.4
Giannis Antetokounmpo	33	27.4	12.3	4.8	1.2	1.1	3.5	10.4-17.8	0.7-2.1	5.9-8.4
Bam Adebayo	33	18.5	8.9	3.4	2.1	0.6	2.0	6.7-13.6	1.3-4.3	3.8-4.9
Pelle Larsson	30	11.5	3.5	3.9	1.2	0.2	1.7	3.7-7.6	0.9-2.7	3.2-3.9
Andrew Wiggins	26	10.4	3.2	2.0	0.9	0.9	1.3	4.0-9.0	1.5-4.3	0.9-1.2
Klay Thompson	23	11.6	1.8	1.5	0.3	0.3	1.1	4.1-10.7	3.0-8.3	0.3-0.4
Bobby Portis	22	9.1	6.5	1.7	0.9	0.5	1.1	3.6-8.3	1.4-3.8	0.5-0.7
Tim Hardaway Jr.	17	7.0	1.7	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.6	2.2-5.8	1.3-4.1	1.2-1.5
Nikola Jovic	9	3.4	2.1	0.8	0.3	0.2	0.5	1.2-2.7	0.4-1.3	0.5-0.7
Dru Smith	6	2.0	0.8	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.5	0.6-1.4	0.2-0.7	0.5-0.6
Ryan Conwell	5	2.0	0.5	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.3	0.7-1.7	0.3-1.0	0.2-0.2
Team	240	116.2	43.3	28.3	9.6	4.6	14.9	42.4-89.5	12.8-37.4	18.1-23.9

Warriors simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Yaxel Lendeborg	35	21.7	7.5	3.6	0.9	0.6	3.5	7.3-15.1	2.7-6.8	4.4-5.7
Brandin Podziemski	27	13.9	4.6	4.3	0.9	0.3	1.5	5.0-10.8	1.9-5.3	1.9-2.4
De'Anthony Melton	25	12.3	4.8	2.7	1.6	0.5	1.6	4.3-9.5	2.2-5.4	1.4-1.8
Stephen Curry	24	21.0	3.6	3.6	1.0	0.2	1.7	6.6-14.2	3.5-8.4	4.3-4.9
Draymond Green	22	5.1	4.3	5.9	0.7	0.7	2.3	1.9-4.0	0.8-2.2	0.5-0.7
Georges Niang	22	8.6	3.3	1.7	0.6	0.2	1.5	3.3-7.3	1.6-4.2	0.4-0.5
Will Richard	20	5.9	2.2	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.6	2.2-4.8	1.1-2.7	0.4-0.5
Brandon Williams	17	10.8	2.7	2.4	0.8	0.3	1.4	3.7-7.7	0.9-2.4	2.5-3.2
Al Horford	15	5.2	3.6	1.2	0.3	0.7	0.8	2.0-4.4	1.1-2.8	0.2-0.3
Gary Payton II	15	6.5	2.8	1.0	0.8	0.1	0.8	2.8-5.4	0.7-2.0	0.2-0.3
Charles Bassey	9	4.8	4.1	0.6	0.1	0.7	0.4	1.9-3.3	0.1-0.2	0.9-1.2
Graham Ike	9	4.2	2.1	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.3	1.7-3.3	0.3-0.8	0.5-0.7
Team	240	120.0	45.6	28.6	8.8	4.8	16.4	42.7-89.8	16.9-43.2	17.6-22.2

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.

Projections

All NBA projections

Player	Stat	Line	Sim	Gap	Sim says	Last 10
Stephen CurryGS vs MIA · Thu 10:00 PM	Points	24.5	21	-3.5	Under 60%	4/10
Brandin PodziemskiGS vs MIA · Thu 10:00 PM	Points	18.5	13.9	-4.6	Under 64%	4/10
Davion MitchellMIA @ GS · Thu 10:00 PM	Assists	6.5	7.9	+1.4	Over 55%	7/10
Andrew WigginsMIA @ GS · Thu 10:00 PM	Points	11.5	10.4	-1.1	Under 56%	3/10
Bobby PortisMIA @ GS · Thu 10:00 PM	Rebounds	5.5	6.5	+1.0	Over 53%	7/10
Tim Hardaway Jr.MIA @ GS · Thu 10:00 PM	Pts + Reb + Ast	11.5	9.5	-2.0	Under 59%	4/10
Gary Payton IIGS vs MIA · Thu 10:00 PM	Assists	1.5	1	-0.5	Under 60%	1/10
Al HorfordGS vs MIA · Thu 10:00 PM	Rebounds	4.5	3.6	-0.9	Under 60%	4/10