Toluca vs Tijuana Score, Live Updates and Chat, Oct 21 2026

Who wins?

Closes in 1d 2h

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Tijuana has dropped 5 of the last 5.

10,000 simulated matches

57%

TOL win

22%

Draw

21%

TIJ win

Expected goals

TOL 2.02, TIJ 1.18

Most likely

1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%)

Both score

61%

3+ goals

62%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
TOLPaulinho	35%	2.7	1.1	0.07
TOLFederico Viñas	25%	2.0	0.7	0.04
TOLHelinho	23%	2.1	0.8	0.25
TIJMourad El Ghezouani	23%	1.7	0.6	0.05
TOLAlexis Vega	22%	1.6	0.6	0.20
TOLNicolás Castro	17%	2.6	0.8	0.21
TIJIgnacio Rivero	13%	1.3	0.4	0.03
TIJGilberto Mora	12%	0.6	0.2	0.03

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

Player	Stat	Line	Sim	Gap	Sim says	Last 10
PaulinhoTOL vs TIJ · Wed 9:00 PM	Shots on target	1.5	1.1	-0.4	Under 71%	3/10
HelinhoTOL vs TIJ · Wed 9:00 PM	Shots on target	0.5	0.8	+0.3	Over 63%	8/10
Nicolás CastroTOL vs TIJ · Wed 9:00 PM	Shots on target	0.5	0.8	+0.3	Over 62%	6/10
Jesús GallardoTOL vs TIJ · Wed 9:00 PM	Shots	1.5	1.3	-0.2	Under 64%	4/10
Federico PereiraTOL vs TIJ · Wed 9:00 PM	Shots	1.5	1	-0.5	Under 75%	1/10