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Bundesliga player projections

Each game simulated 10,000 times. A player's line is the number he went over in about half of his last 20 games.

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree, strongest first.

PlayerStatLineSimGapSim saysLast 10Last 5
Igor MatanovicSCF vs FCU · Sun 11:30 AMShots on target0.51+0.5Over 62%9/10
Maurice KrattenmacherELV @ DOR · Sat 9:30 AMShots1.51.1-0.4Under 61%2/8
Ritsu DoanSGE @ SCP · Sat 9:30 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 57%9/10
Rocco ReitzRBL vs FCA · Sat 9:30 AMShots1.51.1-0.4Under 61%3/10
Younes EbnoutalibSGE @ SCP · Sat 9:30 AMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 58%8/10
Florian NeuhausBMG @ HSV · Fri 2:30 PMShots1.51.3-0.2Under 57%3/10
Sebastian SebulonsenKOE vs B04 · Sun 9:30 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%8/10
Rodrigo RibeiroFCA @ RBL · Sat 9:30 AMShots1.51-0.5Under 62%4/10
Michael GregoritschFCA @ RBL · Sat 9:30 AMShots on target0.50.7+0.2Over 54%8/10
Ísak JóhannessonKOE vs B04 · Sun 9:30 AMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 54%8/10
Nicolás CapaldoHSV vs BMG · Fri 2:30 PMShots0.51+0.5Over 59%7/10
Kacper PotulskiM05 vs MUN · Sat 9:30 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 58%7/10
Dayot UpamecanoMUN @ M05 · Sat 9:30 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 58%7/10
Yannick EngelhardtSCF vs FCU · Sun 11:30 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%7/10
Albert GrønbaekHSV vs BMG · Fri 2:30 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 54%7/10
Miguel GutiérrezB04 @ KOE · Sun 9:30 AMShots0.51+0.5Over 58%5/8
Joe ScallyBMG @ HSV · Fri 2:30 PMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 53%7/10
Fabio VieiraHSV vs BMG · Fri 2:30 PMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 57%6/10
Sheraldo BeckerM05 vs MUN · Sat 9:30 AMShots on target0.50.9+0.4Over 57%6/10
Jeff ChabotVFB vs SVW · Sat 12:30 PMShots0.51+0.5Over 57%6/10
Harry KaneMUN @ M05 · Sat 9:30 AMShots3.54.3+0.8Over 56%6/10
Jobe BellinghamDOR vs ELV · Sat 9:30 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Robin FellhauerFCA @ RBL · Sat 9:30 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Aleix GarcíaB04 @ KOE · Sun 9:30 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 56%6/10
Tom RotheFCU @ SCF · Sun 11:30 AMShots0.50.9+0.4Over 55%6/10
Ramy BensebainiDOR vs ELV · Sat 9:30 AMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 55%6/10
Fisnik AsllaniTSG vs S04 · Sun 1:30 PMShots on target0.50.8+0.3Over 55%6/10
Younes EbnoutalibSGE @ SCP · Sat 9:30 AMShots1.52+0.5Over 55%6/10
Ridle BakuRBL vs FCA · Sat 9:30 AMShots0.50.8+0.3Over 53%6/10

Updated Wed 10:00 AM ET. 9 games.