Pistons visit Heat with Detroit 8-3 and Miami on a back-to-back

Detroit arrives at Kaseya Center at 8-3, first in the Central Division and 5-1 on the road. The Pistons have gone WWLLW over their last five and already own a 1-0 lead in the season series. Miami sits 6-6 and fifth in the Eastern Conference. The Heat are 2-3 at home, though they have gone WWWLW in their last five.

Chirp's Sim likes Detroit in 62% of 10,000 simulations, with Miami at 38%. It points to the Heat playing on a back-to-back as the reason for the lean. The most likely final in the Sim is Pistons 118, Heat 113.