10,000 simulated matches
30%
METZ win
27%
Draw
44%
SER win
Expected goals
METZ 1.30, SER 1.62
Most likely
1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%)
Both score
58%
3+ goals
55%
| Likely scorers | Goal | Shots | On target | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| METZGiorgi Kvilitaia | 28% | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.07 |
| METZNathan Mbala | 17% | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.22 |
| METZJessy Deminguet | 12% | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.04 |
| METZGiorgi Abuashvili | 12% | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.03 |
| METZBouna Sarr | 10% | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.06 |
| METZTerry Yegbe | 6% | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.12 |
| METZPape Sy | 6% | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.07 |
| METZKoffi Kouao | 6% | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.05 |
Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times. One side has few matches with us, so this leans on the average.