Cal Poly Mustangs vs Arizona Wildcats

College Basketball

Cal Poly

1-0

Thu, Nov 5, 10:30 PM ET

#5Arizona

0-1

McKale Center at ALKEME Arena

Who wins?

Closes in 1d 16h

CP1-0

ARIZ0-1

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Preview · 1h ago

No. 5 Arizona hosts Cal Poly after Kharchenkov's 38-point game

Recap · 1d ago

Cal Poly beats Cal State-San Marcos 78-62 in both teams’ season opener

Recap · 1d ago

No. 22 UCLA outlasts No. 5 Arizona 84-75 despite Ivan Kharchenkov’s 38-point night

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated games

32%

CP win

68%

ARIZ win

Typical final

CP 70, ARIZ 78

Combined points

148

Players to watch	PTS	REB	AST	Chance
ARIZIvan Kharchenkov	18.3	5.9	1.6	20+ 40%
CPHamad Mousa	16.8	5.8	1.1	20+ 31%
ARIZRJ Godfrey	13.0	5.7	1.6	15+ 36%
CPCayden Ward	12.3	6.9	2.6	15+ 31%
ARIZDerek Dixon	11.0	2.6	1.8	10+ 58%
ARIZMotiejus Krivas	10.8	8.2	1.1	10+ 58%

Cal Poly simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Hamad Mousa	32	16.8	5.8	1.1	1.1	0.3	2.7	5.4-13.3	1.8-5.6	4.2-5.7
Cayden Ward	30	12.3	6.9	2.6	1.0	0.8	2.7	4.4-10.4	1.2-3.8	2.2-3.1
Guzman Vasilic	23	7.3	2.9	1.6	0.3	0.1	1.4	2.6-6.8	1.2-3.7	0.9-1.2
Jake Davis	21	5.6	2.4	1.5	1.0	0.6	1.0	2.0-5.1	0.8-2.5	0.7-1.0
Jess Esso Essis	18	6.0	3.8	1.6	0.6	0.1	1.9	2.5-5.9	0.6-2.1	0.4-0.5
Kieran Elliott	17	4.8	2.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.7	1.6-4.0	0.5-1.6	1.0-1.4
Austin Goode	16	5.2	2.3	1.0	0.3	0.1	0.5	2.0-5.0	0.8-2.4	0.4-0.5
Ali Assran	13	4.1	4.3	0.4	0.9	1.0	1.0	1.2-2.8	0.1-0.4	1.6-2.3
Jackson Mosley	13	3.9	0.7	2.1	0.5	0.0	0.5	1.4-3.7	0.7-2.2	0.4-0.6
Troy Plumtree	12	2.8	1.3	0.8	0.6	0.4	1.5	1.0-2.5	0.3-1.1	0.4-0.5
Aaron Price Jr.	6	1.7	0.9	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.7-1.5	0.2-0.6	0.2-0.3
Team	200	70.5	33.7	13.3	6.8	3.5	14.1	24.8-61.0	8.2-26.0	12.4-17.1

Arizona simulated box score

Player	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TO	FG	3PT	FT
Ivan Kharchenkov	33	18.3	5.9	1.6	2.6	0.1	2.2	5.9-12.9	1.5-4.6	5.0-7.0
RJ Godfrey	30	13.0	5.7	1.6	1.5	0.4	1.6	4.4-9.6	0.9-2.7	3.3-4.7
Motiejus Krivas	30	10.8	8.2	1.1	1.2	1.8	2.4	3.3-7.0	0.4-1.2	3.8-5.2
Derek Dixon	26	11.0	2.6	1.8	1.3	0.0	1.7	3.8-9.8	1.9-5.6	1.4-1.9
JJ Mandaquit	23	6.4	1.6	3.8	1.5	0.0	0.7	2.3-5.8	1.0-3.1	0.6-0.9
Evan Otten	17	6.0	4.0	0.3	0.4	1.1	1.0	2.0-4.6	0.5-1.6	1.5-2.1
Ugnius Jarusevicius	13	3.3	3.6	2.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1-2.7	0.3-1.1	0.7-1.0
Caleb Holt	5	1.7	1.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6-1.4	0.2-0.6	0.4-0.5
Bryce James	5	1.7	0.0	0.8	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7-1.5	0.2-0.7	0.2-0.3
Cameron Holmes	5	1.6	0.4	0.4	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.5-1.1	0.1-0.5	0.5-0.7
Endurance Aiyamenkhue	5	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5-1.2	0.2-0.5	0.3-0.4
Joaquin Rigdon	5	1.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5-1.2	0.2-0.5	0.3-0.4
Maksim Brnovic	5	1.2	1.2	0.4	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5-1.0	0.1-0.4	0.2-0.3
Team	200	78.0	34.3	13.8	8.5	3.7	11.3	26.1-59.8	7.5-23.1	18.2-25.4

Every possession played out from each team's shooting, turnovers, rebounding and pace and each player's minutes and usage, 10,000 times. Early season: leans on last season until teams have a few weeks of games.