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Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes

MLS

10-11-12

vs

Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET

14-10-9

Allianz Field

TV: Apple TV

Leaders

MINSJ

Goals

Kelvin Yeboah

Matches: 32, Goals: 18

Preston Judd

Matches: 31, Goals: 16

Assists

Joaquín Pereyra

Matches: 31, Assists: 15

Niko Tsakiris

Matches: 22, Assists: 12

Total Shots

Kelvin Yeboah

88

Preston Judd

85

Accurate Passes

Morris Duggan

1380

Reid Roberts

1401

Saves

Drake Callender

103

Angus Gunn

47

Season seriesMIN leads series 4-1

More MLS games on November 7

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

46%

MIN win

25%

Draw

29%

SJ win

Expected goals

MIN 1.89, SJ 1.50

Most likely

1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%)

Both score

67%

3+ goals

65%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
MINKelvin Yeboah	37%	3.4	1.3	0.14
SJPreston Judd	29%	2.5	1.0	0.08
MINMauricio Gonzalez	21%	2.1	0.7	0.19
MINAnthony Markanich	20%	1.8	0.7	0.07
SJOusseni Bouda	16%	1.7	0.6	0.05
SJTimo Werner	16%	1.3	0.5	0.18
MINMarcus Caldeira	15%	0.8	0.3	0.04
MINCherrion Valerius	14%	1.3	0.4	0.16

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

Projections

All MLS projections

Player	Stat	Line	Sim	Gap	Sim says	Last 10	Last 5
Preston JuddSJ @ MIN · Sat 7:00 PM	Shots on target	1.5	1	-0.5	Under 63%	3/10
Timo WernerSJ @ MIN · Sat 7:00 PM	Shots	1.5	1.3	-0.2	Under 57%	4/10

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree. His line is the number he went over in about half of his last 20 games.