Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC

MLS

13-8-12

Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM ET

9-12-12

Subaru Park

TV: Apple TV

Latest

Philadelphia has dropped 4 of the last 5.

10,000 simulated matches

62%

PHI win

21%

Draw

17%

TOR win

Expected goals

PHI 2.25, TOR 1.09

Most likely

1-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%)

Both score

59%

3+ goals

64%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
PHIMilan Iloski	35%	3.2	1.2	0.06
PHIBruno Damiani	29%	2.5	0.9	0.08
PHINeil Pierre	25%	1.7	0.6	0.03
PHIQuinn Sullivan	24%	3.4	1.3	0.23
PHICavan Sullivan	19%	1.8	0.7	0.15
TORJosh Sargent	17%	2.0	0.6	0.09
PHIIndiana Vassilev	15%	1.3	0.4	0.16
TORDjordje Mihailovic	15%	1.0	0.4	0.11

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

Player	Stat	Line	Sim	Gap	Sim says	Last 10
Bruno DamianiPHI vs TOR · Sat 4:00 PM	Shots on target	0.5	0.9	+0.4	Over 58%	7/10
Josh SargentTOR @ PHI · Sat 4:00 PM	Shots	1.5	2	+0.5	Over 54%	7/10
Djordje MihailovicTOR @ PHI · Sat 4:00 PM	Shots	1.5	1	-0.5	Under 62%	4/10
Lewis MorganTOR @ PHI · Sat 4:00 PM	Shots	0.5	1	+0.5	Over 58%	7/10
Danley Jean JacquesPHI vs TOR · Sat 4:00 PM	Shots	1.5	1.1	-0.4	Under 62%	3/10