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D.C. United vs New York City FC

MLS

7-12-14

vs

Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM ET

9-12-12

Audi Field

TV: Apple TV

Leaders

DCNYC

Goals

Tai Baribo

Matches: 25, Goals: 16

Nicolás Fernández

Matches: 32, Goals: 16

Assists

Keisuke Kurokawa

Matches: 33, Assists: 7

Agustin Ojeda

Matches: 33, Assists: 11

Total Shots

Louis Munteanu

65

Nicolás Fernández

83

Accurate Passes

Lucas Bartlett

982

Thiago Martins

2036

Saves

Sean Johnson

106

Matt Freese

104

New York City FC

9-12-12

Players to watch

Best Chirp Rating this season

Last 5

D.C. United

7-12-14

Players to watch

Best Chirp Rating this season

Last 5

Season seriesDC leads series 2-1-2

More MLS games on November 7

Chirp Sim

10,000 simulated matches

34%

DC win

29%

Draw

37%

NYC win

Expected goals

DC 1.29, NYC 1.38

Most likely

1-1 (14%), 0-1 (8%), 0-0 (8%)

Both score

54%

3+ goals

48%

Likely scorers	Goal	Shots	On target	Assist
NYCNicolás Fernández	32%	2.5	1.2	0.14
DCTai Baribo	26%	1.6	0.6	0.04
DCKimito Nono	18%	1.6	0.5	0.12
NYCAndrés Perea	15%	1.3	0.5	0.07
NYCAgustin Ojeda	12%	1.1	0.3	0.26
NYCHannes Wolf	12%	1.1	0.3	0.12
NYCAlonso Martínez	11%	1.0	0.3	0.02
DCLucas Bartlett	10%	0.8	0.2	0.02

Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times.

Projections

All MLS projections

Player	Stat	Line	Sim	Gap	Sim says	Last 10	Last 5
Nicolás FernándezNYC @ DC · Sat 4:00 PM	Shots on target	1.5	1.2	-0.3	Under 59%	3/10
Brandon ServaniaDC vs NYC · Sat 4:00 PM	Shots	0.5	0.9	+0.4	Over 56%	6/10

Where the sim and his last 10 games agree. His line is the number he went over in about half of his last 20 games.