Stade Castelbourgeois vs Nantes
Who wins: Castel 49%
The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Castel won 49% of them. A draw in 28%. The most likely final: Castel 1, Nantes 0. See the full Sim
The Chirp Sim played this game 10,000 times. Castel won 49% of them. A draw in 28%. The most likely final: Castel 1, Nantes 0. See the full Sim
Nantes have dropped 4 of the last 5.
10,000 simulated matches
49%
CAS win
28%
Draw
23%
NAN win
Expected goals
CAS 1.67, NAN 1.04
Most likely
1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%)
Both score
53%
3+ goals
49%
| Likely scorers | Goal | Shots | On target | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NANIgnatius Ganago | 21% | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.10 |
| NANMostafa Mohamed | 11% | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.02 |
| NANFrédéric Guilbert | 9% | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.06 |
| NANJohann Lepenant | 8% | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.04 |
| NANNicolas Cozza | 6% | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.09 |
| NANIbrahima Sissoko | 6% | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.05 |
| NANMathieu Acapandié | 5% | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.05 |
| NANDehmaine Tabibou | 5% | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.02 |
Attack and defense ratings for every club from its matches in every competition, goals credited by minutes and threat, 10,000 times. One side has few matches with us, so this leans on the average.